{"id":18499,"date":"2023-04-15T11:03:19","date_gmt":"2023-04-15T15:03:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/solisinforma.com\/?p=18499"},"modified":"2023-04-15T11:03:19","modified_gmt":"2023-04-15T15:03:19","slug":"como-la-india-podria-haber-superado-a-china-como-la-mas-poblada-del-mundo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/solisinforma.com\/?p=18499","title":{"rendered":"C\u00f3mo la India podr\u00eda haber superado a China como la m\u00e1s poblada del mundo"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Nueva Delhi. <\/b>Las proyecciones indican que la India podr\u00eda superar a China este mes al convertirse en el pa\u00eds m\u00e1s poblado del mundo con unos 1.430 millones de habitantes, tras haber cuadriplicado su poblaci\u00f3n en los \u00faltimos 70 a\u00f1os.<\/div>\n
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El t\u00edtulo llegar\u00eda en un momento formidable para la econom\u00eda india al tiempo que pone la atenci\u00f3n sobre los desaf\u00edos de desarrollo de este pa\u00eds, sus indicadores, su democracia, y tambi\u00e9n el peso de la naci\u00f3n en el tablero global.<\/p>\n

C\u00d3MO HA SUPERADO LA POBLACI\u00d3N<\/strong><\/p>\n

Desde 1950, cuando la ONU comenz\u00f3 a hacer registros, la poblaci\u00f3n de la India ha crecido en m\u00e1s de mil millones de personas, m\u00e1s que la poblaci\u00f3n total de Europa, y continua ascendiendo, a diferencia de China que por primera vez en d\u00e9cadas ha comenzado a mostrar un crecimiento negativo.<\/p>\n

Seg\u00fan el censo de 1941, la India ten\u00eda unos 360 millones de habitantes, lo que significa que la naci\u00f3n ha casi multiplicado por cuatro su poblaci\u00f3n desde su independencia del Imperio brit\u00e1nico, en 1947.<\/p>\n

CU\u00c1NDO SUPERAR\u00c1 A CHINA<\/strong><\/p>\n

La India no tiene un censo de poblaci\u00f3n desde 2011, aunque varias estimaciones basadas en datos de Naciones Unidas calculan que la poblaci\u00f3n de la India supera los 1.423 millones de habitantes, lo que sobrepasa las mismas proyecciones sobre China, que ha sido el pa\u00eds m\u00e1s habitado del mundo desde 1950.<\/p>\n

Sin embargo, los expertos no pueden determinar con exactitud la fecha en que la India tomar\u00e1 el testigo de forma oficial, por lo que basan las expectativas en proyecciones estimadas.<\/p>\n

Mientras el soci\u00f3logo indio S.K. Chaudhury se\u00f1al\u00f3 a EFE que la India lograr\u00e1 en alg\u00fan momento de este a\u00f1o sobrepasar a China, tal y como estim\u00f3 la ONU que ocurrir\u00eda a mediados de este abril; el dem\u00f3grafo Rajesh K. Chauhan cree que este hito no se alcanzar\u00e1 en el pa\u00eds sino hasta dentro de cuatro a\u00f1os.<\/p>\n

D\u00d3NDE VIVEN M\u00c1S DE 1.400 MILLONES DE PERSONAS<\/strong><\/p>\n

La densidad de poblaci\u00f3n en la India se concentra en las \u00e1reas metropolitanas y en los estados norte\u00f1os del pa\u00eds, donde el promedio de las tasas de fertilidad es m\u00e1s elevado que en el resto de la geograf\u00eda del pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n

Ciudades urbanas como Nueva Delhi, la financiera Bombay, Calcuta, Bangalore o Chennai, entre otras, acumulan grandes masas poblacionales por el desarrollo industrial.<\/p>\n

Con m\u00e1s de 21 millones de habitantes, Bombay es a d\u00eda de hoy la ciudad m\u00e1s poblada de la India, seguida de la capital, que concentra casi 20 millones de habitantes. Ambas metr\u00f3polis suman m\u00e1s gente que pa\u00edses como Israel, Polonia o Australia.<\/p>\n

Por su parte, el estado norte\u00f1o de Uttar Pradesh, el m\u00e1s populoso del gigante asi\u00e1tica con un \u00e1rea similar a Reino Unido, abarca un sexto de la poblaci\u00f3n india con 230 millones de habitantes, casi lo mismo que Rusia y Turqu\u00eda juntos.<\/p>\n

CU\u00c1NTO CRECER\u00c1 LA INDIA<\/strong><\/p>\n

Seg\u00fan la estimaci\u00f3n de la ONU, en un escenario de \u00abvariante media\u00bb, que promedia el comportamiento hist\u00f3rico, la India rebasar\u00e1 los 1.500 millones de personas para 2030 y continuar\u00e1 aumentando hasta 2064, cuando alcanzar\u00e1 un m\u00e1ximo de 1.700 millones.<\/p>\n

Incluso en un escenario de \u00abvariante baja\u00bb, con una tasa de nacimientos de 0,5 por debajo de la media, la poblaci\u00f3n de la India no disminuir\u00e1 hasta 2047. O si la tasa de fertilidad aumenta al menos un 0,5 por encima del escenario medio, la poblaci\u00f3n del pa\u00eds superar\u00eda los 2.000 millones de personas para 2068.<\/p>\n

Pese a que la tasa de fertilidad ha disminuido en las \u00faltimas d\u00e9cadas, las prospecciones de crecimiento en la India son m\u00e1s mayores porque envejece a un menor ritmo que China y EE.UU, al disponer de una poblaci\u00f3n que oscila entre los 25 y 64 a\u00f1os.<\/p>\n

EFE<\/b><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nueva Delhi. 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